Andrey Korotayev

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Andrey Korotayev
Born 1961
Flag of the Soviet Union Moscow
Residence Flag of Russia Russia
Nationality Flag of Russia Russia
Field cross-cultural studies, mathematical modeling of social, economic, and historical dynamics; Islamic and pre-Islamic history
Institutions Russian State University for the Humanities and Russian Academy of Sciences
Alma mater Moscow State University
Known for contributions to mathematical modeling of the World System development and cross-cultural studies
Notable prizes Russian Science Support Foundation Award in "The Best Economists of the Russian Academy of Sciences" nomination (2006) [1]

Andrey Korotayev (born in 1961) is an anthropologist, economic historian, and sociologist.

Born in Moscow, Korotayev attended Moscow State University, where he received a B.A. in 1984 and an M.A. in 1989. He earned a Ph.D. degree in 1993 from the Manchester University, and a Doctor of Sciences degree from the Russian Academy of Sciences in 1998. Since 2000, he has been Professor and Director of the Anthropology of the East Center in the Russian State University for the Humanities, Moscow and Senior Research Fellow of the Oriental Institute and Institute for African Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences. He is a co-editor of the Social Evolution & History Journal.

Andrey Korotayev's major contributions belong to three fields: (1) studies of the long-term evolution of sociopolitical systems of North-East Yemen, (2) cross-cultural studies; and (3) mathematical modeling of social, economic, and historical dynamics. In this field he has proposed one of the most convincing mathematical explanations for von Foerster's Doomsday Equation. In collaboration with his colleagues, Artemy Malkov and Daria Khaltourina, he has shown that till the 1970s the hyperbolic growth of the world population was accompanied by quadratic-hyperbolic growth of the world GDP, and developed a number of mathematical models describing both this phenomenon, and the World System withdrawal from the blow-up regime observed in the recent decades. The hyperbolic growth of the world population and quadratic-hyperbolic growth of the world GDP observed till the 1970s have been correlated by him and his colleagues to a non-linear second order positive feedback between the demographic growth and technological development that can be spelled out as follows: technological growth - increase in the carrying capacity of land for people - demographic growth - more people - more potential inventors - acceleration of technological growth - accelerating growth of the carrying capacity - the faster population growth - accelerating growth of the number of potential inventors - faster technological growth - hence, the faster growth of the Earth's carrying capacity for people, and so on. In collaboration with Alexander Markov he has shown that a similar mathematical model can be developed to describe the macrotrends of biological evolution [2]. He has also developed a number of mathematical models of interaction between the very long-term, "millennial" hyperbolic trend dynamics of social systems and the shorter-term, "secular" (that is, observed at the scale of centuries), cyclical dynamics. He is a laureate of the Russian Science Support Foundation in "The Best Economists of the Russian Academy of Sciences" nomination (2006).[3]

Korotayev has written over 10 books and 100 articles dealing with his research interests. These include Ancient Yemen (Oxford University Press, 1995), World Religions and Social Evolution of the Old World Oikumene Civilizations: A Cross-cultural Perspective (Edwin Mellen Press, 2004), and Introduction to Social Macrodynamics (KomKniga, 2006, with Artemy Malkov and Daria Khaltourina). Among his more important journal articles are "Regions Based on Social Structure: A Reconsideration" in the 2000 Current Anthropology (with Alexander Kazankov) and A Compact Macromodel of World System Evolution in the 2005 Journal of World Systems Research.

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