Belizean legislative election, 2008

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A legislative election will be held in the nation of Belize in 2008. Beginning with this election, Belizeans will elect to the House of Representatives 31 members instead of 29.

By law, the ruling People's United Party has up to June of that year to call an election; their term of office expires on March 5.

Contents

The Society for the Promotion of Education and Research (SPEAR) released the results of an opinion poll conducted in conjunction with SJC's Belizean Studies Centre in October 2005. This poll showed that Prime Minister Said Musa had an approval rating of just 19.8%, with 71.6% of respondents saying he should call an early election. In an election 49% of voters would consider voting for a third party; between the current parties 34.5% said they would vote for the PUP and the rest for the UDP. Both parties had muted reactions, but The Belize Times, a PUP newspaper, questioned the mechanics of the poll and Kremandala Show panelist Cedric Flowers challenged its validity. SPEAR was vindicated in its findings by the results of the 2006 municipal election, in which the UDP won the majority of seats. [1]

As a followup, SPEAR conducted a second poll released on October 31, 2006 (News 5). According to the poll 70.5% of Belizeans polled disapproved of Said Musa's leadership, with 15.1 approving and 14.5 having no opinion. A majority called for early elections as well as political parties' disclosure of campaign finance contributions. When asked who they would vote for, 32% said UDP, 11.8% PUP and 22% a third party. Smaller numbers either said they would not vote at all or declined to say who they would vote for. SPEAR director Gustavo Perera said he was "confident" in the results of the poll. (News 5, October 31 and November 3)

As before, neither political party appeared to put much stock in the poll. While the UDP naturally crowed about its support among the people, it was cautious in assuming a 2008 victory. The PUP insisted their dismal numbers would improve through 2007, while third parties said the results validated their feelings. The nation's largest newspaper, the Amandala, headlined that more than half of Belizeans had rejected the PUP and UDP by either supporting a third party or declining to vote; this notion was soundly rejected by the UDP in particular and resulted in back and forth editorial responses in the Amandala and the UDP's Guardian in November, with the UDP charging that publisher Evan X Hyde was playing into the PUP's hands by supporting third parties openly instead of the UDP, and Amandala reiterating that its policy was of Belizeans First and that neither party had stuck to that theme since Independence.

In March of 2007, the University of Belize and Saint John's College Junior College's Belizean Studies Centre conducted a one-weekend poll of 430 randomly selected persons seeking opinions on the 2008 elections. The poll was supervised by UB Registrar Dr. Roy Young, former PUP mayor of Belize City. On the question of approval of party leaders, the UDP's Dean Barrow led all contestants with 55.7% approval; sitting Prime Minister Said Musa scored 14.9%, while independent leaders rated below that. Results by party were similar, with the UDP scoring 55.5%, the PUP 16% and independents scores ranging from 2 to 9%. The scores represent similar views to that of the SPEAR polls, but as before neither party is taking this poll seriously.


Beginning in March of 2007 and continuing through April, Belize's 181 villages are holding council elections on Sundays of nearly every weekend. While the Village Council are supposed to be non-partisan, the major parties and independents are considering them a litmus test for the general elections. From the very beginning, back and forth charges of inaccurate statistics and party favouritism have stained the elections, with both the blue and the red claiming victory in the majority of contested seats. Elections are scheduled to last through April 22.

Several third parties have announced plans to participate in the upcoming election. Among them are established parties Vision Inspired by the People out of Belmopan and We the People Reform Movement from the North. Further south, Cornelius Dueck's National Reform Party and Wil Maheia's People's National Party have made announcements regarding their candidacy.

Persistent reports indicate that the third parties are seeking to unify in order to present a stronger challenge to the main parties; however, no concrete plans were announced toward this end. Reports from the Amandala of March 18, 2007, however, indicate that the PNP and WTP have formed an alliance and are expected to announce their combined slate soon.

In the Amandala of Sunday, March 11, former party the National Reality Truth Creation Party appeared to be returning to the political scene with a full page ad endorsing one Ebony Babb for Queen's Square; the ad also extolled the Christian virtues of the party, led by musician Jorge Ernesto Babb and reportedly featuring Senator Godwin Hulse. The ad appealed to all "natural Creole born Belizeans" to support the NRTCP in 2008. It is not known whether this is a formal candidate announcement, though Babb appeared on KREM Radio several weeks prior espousing the virtues of the party.

Bold indicates incumbent.

Constituency PUP UDP VIP NRP PNP WTP
Albert Mark Espat Tom Morrison
Belize Rural Central Ralph Fonseca [2] Michael Hutchinson Derick Stuart
Belize Rural North Earl Perez Edmond Castro Darlene Graham
Belize Rural South Merlene Spain Manuel Heredia Jr.
Belmopan Moises Cal[3] John Saldivar [4] Paul Morgan
Caribbean Shores Jose Coye Carlos Perdomo
Cayo Central Mario Castellaños Rene Montero George Boiton Jr.
Cayo North Nasim Lisbey Salvador Fernandez Alden McDougal
Cayo Northeast Orlando Habet Elvin Penner Robert "Bobby" Lopez[5] Cornelius Dueck
Cayo South Charles Galvez Ramon Witz Hubert Enriquez Melvin Jordan
Cayo West Kendall Mendez Erwin Contreras
Collet Carolyn Trench-Sandiford Patrick Faber Patrick Rogers
Corozal Bay Juan Vildo Marin Pablo Marin
Corozal North Valdemar Castillo Nemencio Acosta Manuel Avila
Corozal Southeast Florencio Marin Jr. (son of current area rep) Servando Samos
Corozal Southwest Gregorio Garcia Gabriel Martinez
Dangriga Cassian Nunez Arturo Roches
Fort George Said Musa Dr. George Gough
Freetown Francis Fonseca Michael Peyrefitte
Lake Independence Cordel Hyde Vanley Jenkins
Mesopotamia Austin Waight Michael Finnegan
Orange Walk Central John Briceño Rosendo Urbina
Orange Walk East Dave Burgos Marcel Cardona
Orange Walk North Servulo Baeza Gaspar Vega Hilberto Nah
Orange Walk South Ismael Cal Mark Pech Enio Lopez
Pickstock Godfrey Smith Wilfred Elrington
Port Loyola Oscar Rosado Anthony Martinez
Queen's Square Anthony Sylvester Dean Barrow
Stann Creek West Rodwell Ferguson Melvin Hulse Mateo Polanco
Toledo East Mike Espat Eden Martinez Charles Selgado Wil Maheia
Toledo West Marcial Mes Juan Coy Max Cho Fermin Choc Dionisio Chuc
  1. ^ http://www.7newsbelize.com/archive/10170505.html
  2. ^ Currently undecided.
  3. ^ Currently under investigation in Panama for money laundering charges (Channel 5 story); has resigned but status tentative.
  4. ^ Currently representing Cayo South.
  5. ^ A possible candidate for Belmopan but the VIP leadership has yet to settle this.
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